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Can you predict what might happen 250 years from now? It\u2019s a difficult task, especially when you think about everything that\u2019s occurred in the past 250 years. The world of 1776 is completely alien to those of us living in the 2020s. The people of 1776 were living before the widespread adoption of comforts like indoor plumbing. No one knew about fundamental scientific concepts like germ theory. The Wright Brothers weren\u2019t even a gleam in their father\u2019s eye. Here in 2026, we\u2019ve run out of new ideas and have bet our chips on AI coming up with some fresh ones. So, of course, Anthropic\u2019s AI chatbot Claude was recently tasked with making several predictions for the year 2276, specifically involving California. As part of the America 250 celebrations, each state and U.S. territory has now contributed to a time capsule that will be buried in Philadelphia on July 4, 2026. Some states understood the assignment, with New Mexico including things like a bolo tie and Nevada placing poker chips in the 900-pound time capsule. But other states\u2019 contributions were pathetic, with Kansas submitting a single page that lists government officials.<\/p>\n
California arguably did the best job, including a qubit chip from the University of California, Berkeley, a fusion conductor segment from General Atomics, and a NASA photo of California from space. California also included the aforementioned predictions, which are obviously difficult to judge since we don\u2019t know what the future holds. But we may as well take a look anyway.<\/p>\n
Predictions made by Anthropic\u2019s Claude AI with the prompt \u201cWrite me a prediction of what California will be like 250 years from July 4, 2026.\u201d The predictions are included in an America 250 time capsule that will be buried in Philadelphia on July 4, 2026. \u00a9 California Gov. Gavin Newsom\u2019s Office The forecast was made after feeding Claude the prompt, \u201cWrite me a prediction of what California will be like 250 years from July 4, 2026.\u201d And right off the bat, it sounds like California engaged in a type of soft secession from the United States. By the 22nd century, California had ceased to be merely a state. Following the Pacific Secession Accords of 2089 \u2014 a decades-long negotiation born from water rights disputes, federal gridlock, and a coast reshaped by three feet of sea rise \u2014 California formally became the first American member-state of the Pacific Federation, a constitutional union also comprising Oregon, Washington, and British Columbia. It retains all ties to the broader United States, but governs its own climate policy, immigration, and currency supplement. Sacramento remains the symbolic capital; the true center of civic life is now a newly built city called Tidal, constructed on elevated ground in what was once the Central Valley, engineered for the floods that come every forty years like clockwork. Gizmodo reached out to Governor Gavin Newsom\u2019s office to ask whether the prediction was massaged in any way. We didn\u2019t hear back, but we find it very interesting that Claude would essentially predict the creation of Cascadia, an idea with roots in the 19th century. Typically, Cascadia only includes the Pacific Northwest, but Claude seems to think the entire West Coast, including California, will have some autonomy from the federal government in decisions like climate change and water rights.<\/p>\n
The prediction also includes a quote from some kind of political leader who\u2019s never explained: \u201cThe coast did not retreat. We did \u2014 and then we built something better.\u201d \u2014 Premier Isadora Chen-Nakamura, 2241. The idea of how California\u2019s coast might change is prominent in the predictions, including what will happen along the coastal areas of Los Angeles. According to Claude, Santa Monica and Venice, which both touch the Pacific Ocean, will become managed wetlands and marine sanctuaries. But greater Los Angeles will also be much more dense, with vertical cities housing millions of people. Inland, in places like Pasadena and Glendale, there will be towers of compressed earth and timber by 2276, according to Claude. Los Angeles, its famous basin now partially inundated along the old shoreline, has evolved into a vertical city of extraordinary density. Much of what was once Santa Monica and Venice is a managed wetland and marine sanctuary \u2014 an engineered reef system producing a quarter of Southern California\u2019s protein. Inland, on the high mesa from Pasadena through Glendale, towers of compressed earth and timber house eleven million people, cooled by passive systems that the twentieth century never imagined building. No one mourns the freeways; they were converted to linear parks and pneumatic freight corridors in the 2130s. The idea of turning the freeways into pneumatic freight corridors certainly isn\u2019t new. But the timing for such a conversion would depend on factors that are difficult to predict. It helps to remember that people of the 1970s were certain we\u2019d run out of oil by the 21st century. It\u2019s entirely possible that the people of the 2130s would still be toiling away with U.S. infrastructure that\u2019s not that different from the 2020s.<\/p>\n
Claude also imagines California\u2019s Central Valley, an agricultural hub, will be returned to wilderness and native grasses. The Sierra Nevada snowpack, which collapsed catastrophically in the 2060s, has been partially restored through cloud-seeding programs and a vast network of atmospheric water condensers along the ridgeline. The condenser forests \u2014 solar-powered arrays of mesh towers that wring moisture from marine air \u2014 are now old enough that actual trees have grown up through them, making parts of the range look like some impossible hybrid of industry and wilderness. The Central Valley, no longer the world\u2019s produce basket, is a mosaic of restored native grassland, managed aquifer recharge basins, and vertical farming campuses. Agriculture is ninety percent automated and twelve percent of the land; the rest has been rewilded by statute. What happens to San Francisco? Claude seems to believe it won\u2019t become a victim of climate change in the ways that many people of the 2020s predict. San Francisco, famously predicted to be underwater, is not \u2014 quite. Its famous hills remain above the bay, though the bay itself has crept three blocks inland along the Embarcadero. The Financial District\u2019s old towers now stand in a kind of neo-Venetian arrangement, their lower floors sealed and their ground-level entrances replaced by boat docks and elevated pedestrian bridges. The city is magnificent and slightly unreal, like a cathedral that has been renovated too many times and is the better for it. It is also, by most measures, the most expensive place to exist in the known world. The weirdest part of Claude\u2019s predictions comes in a line about the \u201cfounders\u201d of California. Demographically, California of 2276 is a place its founders of 1850 would not recognize and its founders of 1976 would find hauntingly familiar. The state has always been a destination. The phrase \u201cfounders of 1850\u201d makes sense because that\u2019s the year that California became a state. But \u201cfounders of 1976\u201d makes no sense, as far as I can tell. That year was the U.S. bicentennial, but it\u2019s not clear what kind of founders they\u2019re referring to. When I typed \u201cfounders of california 1976\u201d into Google, the AI preview first seemed to interpret the query as the Spanish missionaries of 1776 who founded the Mission San Francisco de As\u00eds and Mission San Juan Capistrano in what\u2019s today Orange County.<\/p>\n
But Google also offered up that maybe I was talking about the \u201cfounders\u201d of Apple, who started the tech giant in 1976. Is that what Claude meant? It\u2019s unclear, but it\u2019s funny to think about Apple\u2019s founding as the start of a new California. The Claude predictions also include ideas about languages, including ones that currently exist as well as a language not yet invented called Pacifican. The dominant languages are English, Spanish, Mandarin, Tagalog, and an emergent creole called Pacifican \u2014 a liquid, musical tongue born in the schools of the San Gabriel Valley and now heard in film, music, and political speeches. The great question of this century is not race or class in the old sense, but rather the divide between the augmented and the unaugmented: those who have integrated neural and biological technologies with their cognition and those who have not, by choice or access. And leave it to Claude to imagine that Hollywood will be little more than a historical footnote by 2276. Hollywood \u2014 now a museum district and architectural heritage zone \u2014 gave way, gradually, to a distributed creative economy in which narrative entertainment is co-authored by human artists and AI collaborators under strict attribution law. The studios, ironically, still exist; they are just no longer in Los Angeles, no longer making what anyone in 2026 would recognize as a film. The California of 2276 is still the world\u2019s imagination \u2014 it has simply changed what it imagines. Benjamin Franklin wrote a letter to a friend in 1788, wishing he could see the world in 300 years\u2014the 21st century that we now experience.<\/p>\n
Franklin would likely be shocked as much by the social changes as the technological ones. That can be the area where predictions become the most difficult. Franklin lived when women didn\u2019t have the right to vote, and chattel slavery was the norm. Ben was often a forward-thinking guy, but one imagines he\u2019d still experience more than a little cultural shock if he could be transplanted to the year 2026. The concept of condoms alone would send his mind reeling. Ben didn\u2019t get to see any of the changes that came about over the past few centuries, just as we won\u2019t get to see 2276. But hopefully, there are still people around to read these predictions. You\u2019ll notice that Claude mentioned nothing of Skynet taking over and the robot wars of the 2250s. Either we have nothing to fear, or Claude is keeping mum to make sure humanity doesn\u2019t see it coming when the robot uprising starts. Can you predict what might happen 250 years from now? It\u2019s a difficult task, especially when you think about everything that\u2019s occurred in the past 250 years. The world of 1776 is completely alien to those of us living in the 2020s. The people of 1776 were living before the widespread adoption of comforts like […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[676],"tags":[835,873,1249,2155,2156],"class_list":["post-6125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tech-ai","tag-ai","tag-anthropic","tag-claude","tag-predictions","tag-time-capsules"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6125"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6125\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6126"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/daiilynews.cu.ma\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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